MrSheepish
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- Dec 8, 2009
- Messages
- 137
we have a colder northern hemisphere, got another one for that ?
I second PLC's question. When you say colder, what exactly do you mean?
we have a colder northern hemisphere, got another one for that ?
I second PLC's question. When you say colder, what exactly do you mean?
Colder than what?
Right off hand, I'd say that the recent cooling of the Northern Hemisphere is most likely due to a phenomenon known in scientific circles as "winter."
its a particularly bad winter thus far
Mr.Sheepish said: But my explanations are always ignored or not understood. The response is always "there can't be global warming because the weather is cold right now". I'm out of ideas. It feels like I'm arguing with a broken record.
It doesn't matter how much data you point to demonstrating that temperatures have gotten higher in every part of the world over the last 30/60/100 years. The reply is always "we're experiencing cold weather over here, right now!".
This argument is absolutely wrong, but I don't know how else to explain it. I've tried to explain the physics: "natural variability happens and is not well understood, so you can't look at temperature changes over small time scales because they are essentially random, especially if you are talking about a specific region and not the world as a whole". I've tried pointing to the data: "look at the fluctuations from year to year. It's obvious that any conclusions you can draw from small time intervals are dominated by random 'noise'". And I've tried analogies to show how ridiculous this point of view is: "Obviously immigration is a hoax because there were no Mexicans in my neighborhood this morning".
But my explanations are always ignored or not understood. The response is always "there can't be global warming because the weather is cold right now". I'm out of ideas. It feels like I'm arguing with a broken record.
So let me try one last argument. This stuff is complicated, and you are clearly confused about it. This isn't a subject like abortion, gay rights, or the death penalty where everyone can easily understand the issues and express a valid opinion based on their own values. If you want to argue the science you have to take time to understand the data. You're much better off asking questions and arguing the science once you have a better understanding of it.
Otherwise it's a waste of time for us to be here.
its a particularly bad winter thus far
What do our results have to do with Global Warming, i.e., the century-scale response to greenhouse gas emissions? VERY LITTLE, contrary to claims that others have made on our behalf. Nature (with hopefully some constructive input from humans) will decide the global warming question based upon climate sensitivity, net radiative forcing, and oceanic storage of heat, not on the type of multi-decadal time scale variability we are discussing here.
Now you are changing the subject. Some of these scientists are predicting less warming than others, but unlike you they are a) still saying that humans are causing longterm warming, and b) they have reasons for their predictions that aren't just "it's a cold winter so global warming must be a hoax".
Seriously, one of the flagship scientists presented in this article is Prof. Tosnis. Here's how he describes his work in his own words, not filtered through the writing of a reporter with an agenda:
So in conclusion you still seem to be confused, and so is the reporter (to a lesser extent). The people who are not confused (at least not about the distinction between weather and climate) are the scientists, including this one that this reporter is interviewing.
Mr. Sheepish, I think you were right when you said that Gipper was a troll. That was the point of my last post. And the guy isn't going to go off payroll in order to agree that you have a point..lol..
They do this you know. They have armies of trolls that post at websites like these who do nothing but dispense propaganda. It's part of business nowadays. And not a little part either. Much cheaper than advertising if you think about it.
The most interesting part of the article is that it admits that warming ceased and has even turned a mite colder.
Something the warmers have been dentying. Mainly this puts to rest the maxim that temps WILL increase as CO2 does.