Solution to the oil problem

If you read what you quoted me saying in your last post you will find the answer to that question. If you want to explore the idea a little further then just say so. I've told you that Will Hutton's, A Declaration of Interdependence' would be the quickest and easiest way to begin to understand but I'm also willing to share some of my own ideas is you want to drop the confrontational attitude and discuss the problems.

Nice, you showed up blasting the entire way of life in the United States, and when you get challenged you tell me to drop the confrontational attitude.

If I were a wealthy American who benefits hugely from the system I would like the present form of capitalism too. But I would also be smart enough to understand that it is not sustainable and therefore needs to be reworked. I would like to offer you some ideas on how that can happen and still maintain a democratic system and a capitalist system.

Ok, I am all ears.

THere is nothing wrong with keeping more of what you earn as long as the system which allows that is also providing for all it's citizens. If the system doesn't do that then enough people will demand change. It's as simple as that. Do you disagree with that? You shouldn't because you are now seeing a very real move to the left with Obama who is promising to fix the system for the less wealthy. The argument is not whether or not he will do that; at least for me it isn't. I don't know if he will be capable but I do know that his huge popularity is based on that sort of promise.

There are countless government social programs to take care of less fortunate people. There are also countless private programs that take care of these people. It is not the government's responsibility to ensure that everyone has a great life. Everyone in this country can go to school for free, and it is then up to you to take it from there. If you fail, you failed, not the system.

Yes, there is a current love affair with Obama. He obviously has a lot of support. That said look at the Bush stimulus packages, poured a lot of money into the hands of middle class people and guess what the market did. It went down. These are the same people that Obama wants to give the same money to. The upper class in this country do more with their money when they get more back like invest it and create jobs, but Mr. Change wants to tax all of them more.

You're right! One of the highest standards of living in the world but do you know where you stand currently as compared to the world and do you know whether or not your relative position has declined in the past 7+ years while Bush as advanced the extremist capitalist agenda? Do you care? If it hasn't effected you then perhaps you don't. What you care about is only 1/300,000,000th. of what needs to be considered.

I will tell you this. The US has the largest economy in the world. We maintain a high level of output per person, GDP was $46,000 in 2007. The U.S. economy has maintained a stable overall GDP growth rate, a low unemployment rate, and high levels of research and capital investment.

The United States is the most significant nation in the world when it comes to international trade. For decades, it has led the world in imports while simultaneously remaining as one of the top three exporters of the world.

The US remains the largest consumer in the world as well. Further, while the U.S. national debt is the world's largest in absolute size, a more convenient measure is that of its size relative to the nation's GDP. When the national debt is put into this perspective it appears considerably less today than in past years, particularly during World War II. By this measure, it is also considerably less than those of other industrialized nations such as Japan and roughly equivalent to those of several western European nations.

I will tell you that in Canada, you have a higher unemployment rate, roughly the same inflation, relatively similar growth but your export and import rate are both falling.

Unemployment in European socialist nations like Germany also sits around 8%. Far worse than here in the United States. By many measures, the US economy continues to outperform socialist economies.



Now that's where you begin to lose me. Are you talking about my country? If so you need to know that Canada's standard of living is higher than the US and if I'm not mistaken the US was higher when Bush took over 7+ years ago.

As you say, things go in cycles. The combination of higher export prices and lower import prices has ultimately contributed to a significant increase in the purchasing power of income and, therefore, in the standard of living in Canada. This has been able to happen because of the price of oil rising and the dollar weakening.

Further, you are wrong when you say that the US was higher when Bush took office, because we were not. Since 1981 we have gone back in forth in cycles on who was on top of the other. In 1999 to 2000 Canada had a large advantage, however that gap has been shrinking since Bush took office.

If you are talking about me personally then you are being foolish because you have no idea in the least of whether I am poor or wealthy. You lose credibility by supposing you do. In fact I am university educated and have been inependently wealthy for at least 10 years since I was 50. I achieved that in the field of electrical/instrumental by running a successful business and through hard work.

Now where would you like to go with this conversation? Would you like to investigate the problems with the US style of capitalism which must quite obviously exist and is being reflected in your dismal economy's performance?

I am not interested in your personal life, I was making a generalization. Good for your business.

As for the US economic performance, we continue to see growth, but as anyone will tell you, economies go in cycles, and when we slow down it is not the end of the world.
 
Werbung:
The reason that oil companies did not switch over to alternative fuels decades ago was because decades ago gas was $0.30 a gallon and there was no need to switch to anything.

Wrong again. In fact my father wrote papers back then and so did many other scientists about the finite properties of the world oil reserves. In the 1970s he and others predicted the exact scenario we are in in the Middle East. I think he was off by about 3 years or so.

We knew back then that oil was a troublesome business to stay married to and hence the reason he and others took it upon themselves to innovate alternative ideas. And this is where Bigoil performed most of its intellectual abortions...to keep their monopoly and not because the technology wasn't trying to be born.

Look it isn't a big conspiracy like other people taunt, it's business in its purest and simplist form. It makes perfect reptilian capitalistic sense to snuff out any competition before it can even be born. And I assure you that is exactly what they did and have been doing for about four decades now. The big problem is that their little money game has placed the United States squarely in a dangerous position of vulnerability and have trashed our economy in their completely transparent and murderous theft of Iraq's oil. That's where We The People draw the line..

And now it's time for them to stop. The party is over. They've stuck the knife in their own backs by getting too greedy at the pump and in other sovereign nations. It couldn't go on forever...something had to give and that something is the patience of the American People..
 
Wrong again. In fact my father wrote papers back then and so did many other scientists about the finite properties of the world oil reserves. In the 1970s he and others predicted the exact scenario we are in in the Middle East. I think he was off by about 3 years or so.

We are supposed to change our energy policy because your father wrote some papers? Even if he is the most qualified person in the world to speak on the matter, he could not predict new oil discoveries, new laws, supply and demand issues, speculation, and all of the new technologies that have become available since 1970.

No disrespect to your father, but it does not take a rocket scientist to know that one day we will run out of oil, but when alternatives are still decades away and not commercially viable, oil it will be. Added to that, our oil shale deposits in Colorado are estimated to be more than the entire middle east combined. So if we drill that we just doubled the amount of time that oil will last.

We knew back then that oil was a troublesome business to stay married to and hence the reason he and others took it upon themselves to innovate alternative ideas. And this is where Bigoil performed most of its intellectual abortions...to keep their monopoly and not because the technology wasn't trying to be born.

Thirty years ago oil was cheap. If those trying to pursue alternative fuels could not make them commercially viable and therefore could not turn a profit on them or fully develop them, it is not the oil companies fault, to compete you have to make a product that is better, cheaper, and more desirable, which at the time, and still today, has not been done.


Look it isn't a big conspiracy like other people taunt, it's business in its purest and simplist form. It makes perfect reptilian capitalistic sense to snuff out any competition before it can even be born. And I assure you that is exactly what they did and have been doing for about four decades now.

I agree, and if alternative energy can commercially compete on its own then it will become viable. Until then, the market will act as it does.

And now it's time for them to stop. The party is over. They've stuck the knife in their own backs by getting too greedy at the pump. It couldn't go on forever...something had to give and that something is the patience of the American People..

The oil companies in the United States do not even control the price of gasoline, which has fallen by over 20 dollars the last week alone. Clearly the price was inflated due to speculation and other factors, which is not the fault of oil companies.
 
BigRob- Bear with me for a moment please. Tonight on Charlie Rose he had Jim Reed on and Charlie asked Reed if he would support the bail out of Bear-Stearns. Reed's answer was right on the money IMO. He said that when he started out CEO salaries were 20 times what his bottom worker earned. And he said that now CEO salaries are 400 times what his bottom worker earned. He said that if Bear-Stearns is to be supported by a government bailout then Reed thought that it would be quite reasonable for CEO's to also be willing to bear some of the responsibility for the problems and that their salaries needed to become a part of the bailout equation. Does it seem reasonable to you that the average American should shoulder all the pain which these huge bailouts are going to place on him/her and his children and grandchildren?

This is dealt with in Will Hutton's book, ['A Declaration of Interdependence' which I mentioned earlier. And this is a simple example of how the US has become corrupt with extremist capatalism. It's an example of how the US must change and it doesn't mean that government should apply controls to private individual's salaries. Would any reasonable conservative balk at that? Is it going to be the individual's business until the sh-t hits the fan and then you will rely of socialist policy only then? Now to 'your' questions:

Nice, you showed up blasting the entire way of life in the United States, and when you get challenged you tell me to drop the confrontational attitude.

I didn't blast the entire way of life in the US my friend but I do intend on blasting a lot of the corruption which your extreme brand of capitalism has created. I'll leave it up to you whether or not you want to deal with me further as we explore what I mean. Just keep in mind that I have no stake in your country's situation and that allows me to be honest and objective.

Ok, I am all ears.
Good!

There are countless government social programs to take care of less fortunate people. There are also countless private programs that take care of these people. It is not the government's responsibility to ensure that everyone has a great life. Everyone in this country can go to school for free, and it is then up to you to take it from there. If you fail, you failed, not the system.

True enough but if you are unfortunate and encounter expenses because of poor health your system will destroy many more people than would be destroyed in another country with social platforms. But you mention free schools and that is contrary to most conservatives' views I believe. Are you saying that every American has a right to a free quality education? If so then why can't you carry it a bit further to include what we in Canada consider other necessities?

As for your healthcare system being just fine, the WHO doesn't agree and it places you at #37. It's worth mentioning that all the presidential hopefuls addressed the situation and had plans to fix it, albeit some of them were lying. The reason why they felt a need to address the problem is because it was a political hot issue for the people. You can debate the 47 million number if you like but the American people consider it to be an issue. Fix it with socialist reform or fix it some other way, the people think it needs to be fixed. And then let's face it, Michael Moore did blow the whistle on the situation didn't he, even though there were flaws in his movie which were jumped all over by the right when they should have been more capable of accepting some of the stinging truths.

Reconcile all that for me.

Yes, there is a current love affair with Obama. He obviously has a lot of support. That said look at the Bush stimulus packages, poured a lot of money into the hands of middle class people and guess what the market did. It went down. These are the same people that Obama wants to give the same money to. The upper class in this country do more with their money when they get more back like invest it and create jobs, but Mr. Change wants to tax all of them more.

In fact a study of income quintiles will show that there isn't more money in the hands of the middle class since the beginning of Bush's two terms. In fact Bush has been faithful to the Supply side mentality and has given tax breaks to the rich. That hasn't succeeded in stimulating the economy but has shown that Supply side economics is a fraud. Now that your country is nearing financial ruin it's time for Mr. Change to have a go at taxing the rich to pay the bills and giving the middle class a break. It appears to be a hugely popular idea.

I will tell you this. The US has the largest economy in the world. We maintain a high level of output per person, GDP was $46,000 in 2007. The U.S. economy has maintained a stable overall GDP growth rate, a low unemployment rate, and high levels of research and capital investment.

And the standard of living in your country has declined, people are losing their homes enmass, huge corporations are dropping like flies, and people are unhappy.

The United States is the most significant nation in the world when it comes to international trade. For decades, it has led the world in imports while simultaneously remaining as one of the top three exporters of the world.

Is it sustainable with high oil prices? T. Boone Pickens thinks that high oil is going to destroy the economy of your country. An invasion of Iran is expected to put oil at $12/gallon and that is forecast to destroy your economy. Are you actually trying to paint a bright and rosy picture and think you will get away with it?

I will tell you that in Canada, you have a higher unemployment rate, roughly the same inflation, relatively similar growth but your export and import rate are both falling.

I have little interest in proving whose daddy can beat up the other's daddy but I will say that the Canadian economy is booming and considered the most healthy of all the G8.

Unemployment in European socialist nations like Germany also sits around 8%. Far worse than here in the United States. By many measures, the US economy continues to outperform socialist economies.

You need to compare apples with apples and I'm not going to let you get away with comparing apples with oranges. And besides, all this bragging and all your other bragging is not reflected with the facts on the ground in your country. But I think we're getting a little off topic now.


As you say, things go in cycles. The combination of higher export prices and lower import prices has ultimately contributed to a significant increase in the purchasing power of income and, therefore, in the standard of living in Canada. This has been able to happen because of the price of oil rising and the dollar weakening.

Did I say things go in cycles? And if I did then in what context did I say that? Yes, the price of oil has caused most of your woes and your country has not been interested in being proactive because Bush and the right didn't believe until about two months ago that oil was in limited supply. Imagine that! It has dawned on them so quickly. They still don't believe in AGW but I suspect that will dawn on them just as quickly. European countries have been proactive and Canada hasn't but we are a wealthy oil rich country and you are a have-not country. Again, I'll place my confidence in T. Boone Pickens as knowing what he's talking about.

Further, you are wrong when you say that the US was higher when Bush took office, because we were not. Since 1981 we have gone back in forth in cycles on who was on top of the other. In 1999 to 2000 Canada had a large advantage, however that gap has been shrinking since Bush took office.

Talking of standard of living, I believe you're wrong when you say Canada was on top in 2000 but I do know that Canada is further ahead now. I believe you've slipped to around 6th. but I should provide a source. I'll try to get it done later. Suffice to say that socialist countries are the leaders of the pack.

I am not interested in your personal life, I was making a generalization. Good for your business.

Forget it. Some idiot claimed that I was a poor lefty who was begrudging the wealthy what they have earned. I can't remember who it was but it required a response to put the individual in his place. ASSuMEd you could say! I am interested in your credentials because that assures me I am talking to a worthy debating opponent, not a 16 year old with over active hormones. Thank you for telling me.

As for the US economic performance, we continue to see growth, but as anyone will tell you, economies go in cycles, and when we slow down it is not the end of the world.

You need to have confidence in these times. And I agree it could be a cycle if the right CHANGES are made.
 
BigRob- Bear with me for a moment please. Tonight on Charlie Rose he had Jim Reed on and Charlie asked Reed if he would support the bail out of Bear-Stearns. Reed's answer was right on the money IMO. He said that when he started out CEO salaries were 20 times what his bottom worker earned. And he said that now CEO salaries are 400 times what his bottom worker earned. He said that if Bear-Stearns is to be supported by a government bailout then Reed thought that it would be quite reasonable for CEO's to also be willing to bear some of the responsibility for the problems and that their salaries needed to become a part of the bailout equation. Does it seem reasonable to you that the average American should shoulder all the pain which these huge bailouts are going to place on him/her and his children and grandchildren?

I am against all of these bailouts, I think they set a terrible precedent for the market. Companies will be more likely to go off and do something stupid because they know that the government will rush in to save them should anything go wrong. If a company cannot compete, it does not need to be in business.

This is dealt with in Will Hutton's book, ['A Declaration of Interdependence' which I mentioned earlier. And this is a simple example of how the US has become corrupt with extremist capatalism. It's an example of how the US must change and it doesn't mean that government should apply controls to private individual's salaries. Would any reasonable conservative balk at that? Is it going to be the individual's business until the sh-t hits the fan and then you will rely of socialist policy only then? Now to 'your' questions:

I think controlling executive salaries is just the beginning. Where does it end? It sets another precedent that we then can not go back on. After we cap executive pay do we then decide that doctors earn to much money as well? People will always go where the money is. I think that is evidenced by many Canadian doctors choosing to come practice in the United States so that they can earn more money. I think capping salaries sets a precedent for a brain drain.

True enough but if you are unfortunate and encounter expenses because of poor health your system will destroy many more people than would be destroyed in another country with social platforms. But you mention free schools and that is contrary to most conservatives' views I believe. Are you saying that every American has a right to a free quality education? If so then why can't you carry it a bit further to include what we in Canada consider other necessities?

Everyone in this country can attend high school for free. I think that is a good thing. I think however, that after that you are not entitled to a job. It is up to you to then go out and earn a job. Most conservatives today are not opposed to free public schools, but they also support vouchers and other programs for private schools.


As for your healthcare system being just fine, the WHO doesn't agree and it places you at #37. It's worth mentioning that all the presidential hopefuls addressed the situation and had plans to fix it, albeit some of them were lying. The reason why they felt a need to address the problem is because it was a political hot issue for the people. You can debate the 47 million number if you like but the American people consider it to be an issue. Fix it with socialist reform or fix it some other way, the people think it needs to be fixed. And then let's face it, Michael Moore did blow the whistle on the situation didn't he, even though there were flaws in his movie which were jumped all over by the right when they should have been more capable of accepting some of the stinging truths.

Reconcile all that for me.

The WHO can say what they please. They place access to healthcare as a high priority, but disregard free ER visits and other programs that do indeed give people access to healthcare.

People still come to the United States from the UK and Canada to get procedures done because they do not want to get caught up in all the bureaucracy and just want to get an operation. I think that the entire "problem" with the healthcare system is government created as is.

The HMO was a government mandate in this country. After that, the government then decided to focus tax breaks for buying healthcare solely for employers and not for the individual. This destroyed the individual market for healthcare, and I think played a role in rising prices (as monopolies always do). I do not find the solution to a government mandated problem to be more government. If we look at the costs of spending as is for Medicare for about the same amount of people as in Canada, it is outrageous. That said there are another 300,000,000 people after to then pay for as well. Where is all of this money going to come from? I think the solution is to give tax breaks to individuals to buy their own insurance and restore the private market, and let the market dictate the price, not the government. Economics 101 says price caps do not work.


In fact a study of income quintiles will show that there isn't more money in the hands of the middle class since the beginning of Bush's two terms. In fact Bush has been faithful to the Supply side mentality and has given tax breaks to the rich. That hasn't succeeded in stimulating the economy but has shown that Supply side economics is a fraud. Now that your country is nearing financial ruin it's time for Mr. Change to have a go at taxing the rich to pay the bills and giving the middle class a break. It appears to be a hugely popular idea.

Since Bush has been in office the rich actually shoulder more of the tax burden. Let me explain:

While high-income households did save more in actual dollars than low-income households, they did so because low-income house*holds pay so little in income taxes in the first place. In 2000, the top 60 percent of taxpayers paid 100 percent of all income taxes. The bottom 40 percent collectively paid no income taxes. Lawmakers writing the 2001 tax cuts faced quite a challenge in giving the bulk of the income tax savings to a population that was already paying no income taxes.

First, lawmakers low*ered the initial tax brackets from 15 percent to 10 percent and then expanded the refundable child tax credit, which, along with the refundable earned income tax credit, reduced the typical low-income tax burden to well below zero. As a result, the U.S. Treasury now mails tax "refunds" to a large proportion of these Americans that exceed the amounts of tax that they actually paid. All in all, the number of tax filers with zero or negative income tax liability rose from 30 million to 40 million, or about 30 percent of all tax filers.

Consequently, from 2000 to 2004, the share of all individual income taxes paid by the bottom 40 per*cent dropped from zero percent to –4 percent. That means that the top group then had to cover an expanded percent of the tax burden. According to the Congressional Budget Office, "expanding the data to include all federal taxes, the share paid by the top quintile edged up from 66.6 percent in 2000 to 67.1 percent in 2004, while the bottom 40 percent's share dipped from 5.9 per*cent to 5.4 percent"

And the standard of living in your country has declined, people are losing their homes enmass, huge corporations are dropping like flies, and people are unhappy.

People are over-reacting to the mortgage problem. First, it is not like everyone is losing their house. I think it is something like 1 in every 5000 houses is in danger maybe. Added to that, in my mind this is simply a market correction. Many of these people who are now getting foreclosed on had no business taking out a large mortgage and buying a house, and the companies had no business giving them these loans. Many of these people now losing their housing could not afford them to begin with, but tried on the hope that housing prices would continue to rise. They took a risk and lost, its not the governments fault, or responsibility to save them. Same with these companies, they took a risk and lost.


Is it sustainable with high oil prices? T. Boone Pickens thinks that high oil is going to destroy the economy of your country. An invasion of Iran is expected to put oil at $12/gallon and that is forecast to destroy your economy. Are you actually trying to paint a bright and rosy picture and think you will get away with it?

Gas is over ten dollars a gallon is Europe and they are not in financial ruin. Why does $12 gas here ruin us, and $10 gas there for years mean nothing? We can shoulder $12 gas if we must, it will just speed the process to alternatives. I do not know where you are getting the idea that $12 gas is going to kill the economy. As for Iran, I do not think we will invade.
 
You need to compare apples with apples and I'm not going to let you get away with comparing apples with oranges. And besides, all this bragging and all your other bragging is not reflected with the facts on the ground in your country. But I think we're getting a little off topic now.

I do not think that it is unfair at all to compare our economy to that of a more socialist driven economy. After all, you are saying we need to start leaning left, and they are an example of an economy that already leans that way. It is a valid comparison.

Did I say things go in cycles? And if I did then in what context did I say that? Yes, the price of oil has caused most of your woes and your country has not been interested in being proactive because Bush and the right didn't believe until about two months ago that oil was in limited supply. Imagine that! It has dawned on them so quickly. They still don't believe in AGW but I suspect that will dawn on them just as quickly. European countries have been proactive and Canada hasn't but we are a wealthy oil rich country and you are a have-not country. Again, I'll place my confidence in T. Boone Pickens as knowing what he's talking about.

T. Boone Pickens does not dictate energy policy either. The market does. When gas was $2 bucks a gallon you were going to have a hard time to tell anyone that they needed to drive this electric hybrid that was not as good as their current car. (Remember that during all of this gas in Europe was still much higher) High gas prices are a new thing in this country (outside the oil embargo) and yes we are a bit behind catching up, but that hardly means that we will not catch up. We have oil shale reserves estimated to be more than the entire Middle East combined in Colorado, we can drill offshore and in Alaska, not to solve the problem, but to buy time.

I am not sure if you said things go in cycles, I thought you had, but I think that economically they do. Our weak dollar right now is promoting a lot of foreign investment in the United States, which takes it away from other places. This investment boosts our dollar while weakening others, then the cycle repeats. A weak dollar is not the end of the world.

Talking of standard of living, I believe you're wrong when you say Canada was on top in 2000 but I do know that Canada is further ahead now. I believe you've slipped to around 6th. but I should provide a source. I'll try to get it done later. Suffice to say that socialist countries are the leaders of the pack.

I agree that Canada is ahead as of right now. The last thing I saw had us at 12th, but I think it goes in cycles.
Forget it. Some idiot claimed that I was a poor lefty who was begrudging the wealthy what they have earned. I can't remember who it was but it required a response to put the individual in his place. ASSuMEd you could say! I am interested in your credentials because that assures me I am talking to a worthy debating opponent, not a 16 year old with over active hormones. Thank you for telling me.

Yea, it was not supposed to come across as geared at you but rather simply a generalization. As for me, as I said earlier (I'll put it again) I have a BA in International Relations and a Masters in Defense and Strategic Studies. So no hormonal 16 year olds here. :cool:


Also the Bush tax cuts worked. Consider this:

GDP grew at an annual rate of just 1.7 percent in the six quarters before the 2003 tax cuts. In the six quarters following the tax cuts, the growth rate was 4.1 percent. Non-residential fixed investment declined for 13 consecutive quarters before the 2003 tax cuts. Since then, it has expanded for 13 consecutive quarters.
The S&P 500 dropped 18 percent in the six quarters before the 2003 tax cuts but increased by 32 percent over the next six quarters. Dividend payouts increased as well. The economy lost 267,000 jobs in the six quarters before the 2003 tax cuts. In the next six quarters, it added 307,000 jobs, followed by 5 million jobs in the next seven quarters.
 
We are supposed to change our energy policy because your father wrote some papers? Even if he is the most qualified person in the world to speak on the matter, he could not predict new oil discoveries, new laws, supply and demand issues, speculation, and all of the new technologies that have become available since 1970.

It's funny when you pull things out of context, how the meaning changes. Not only just my father, but many fathers wrote about it. He is a physicist but he liked to hang out with geologists, a more fun crowd I suppose...certainly from my recollection. They are the front line predictors for where oil is, how much is there etc. They were all talking about and writing about this predicament decades ago. I'd often sit in on the conversations, being only in gradeschool then I wasn't perceived as any threat to priviledged information. Not just anyone had such a vantage.

I can tell you that they knew about what was coming, exactly (almost to the fine detail) of how it would unfold and they collaborated on ideas of how to fend it off. And the phone threats to my father were real. He gained nothing of reporting them to me. As far as I know, I was the only one in the family he told. I suppose because I happened to skip into his office as he was setting the phone down, his face all white. I asked him what was wrong and he told me in a low shakey voice. Quite an impression it made on a youngster to watch the most powerful man in the world (their father) shake with fear from just a phone conversation..

It made an impression...

M-A-N-Y scientists knew this was coming and predicted the Middle East predicament..

Unfortunately, despite intense efforts by all of the world's oil companies, only a few of the new major fields promised by their geologists were actually found. The world's accessible oil provinces had all been previously recognized and most of their major fields found earlier. Numerous major finds had been made in the late 1960s, which brought on production offshore by new marine technologies during the mid-1970s in time to bring the OPEC producers to heel. No new major oil provinces (those producing 7 to 25 billion barrels) have been found since 1980.

The world is finite. The 1,311 known major and giant oil fields contain 94% of the world's known oil and are accordingly the most critical for future global oil supplies. Figure A summarizes when and where the known global fields were discovered. The peak global oil finding year was 1962. Since then, the global discovery rate has dropped sharply in all regions...

..Thus the question is not whether but when the foreseeable permanent oil crunch will occur. This next paralyzing and permanent oil shock will not be solved by any redistribution patterns or by economic cleverness, because it will be a consequence of pending and inexorable depletion of the world's conventional crude oil supply. Few economists can bring themselves to accept that the global oil supply is geologically finite.

The global price of oil after the supply crunch should follow the simplest economic law of supply and demand: There will be a major increase in crude oil and all other fuels' prices, accompanied by global hyperinflation, rationing, etc. After the associated economic implosion, many of the world's developed societies may look like today's Russia. The United States may be competing with China for every tanker of oil, with the Persian Gulf oil exporters preferring Chinese rockets to American paper dollars for their oil.

The economic and social ramifications of the coming oil shock will require serious planning worldwide. Source: http://dieoff.org/page90.htm

The situation was a known even farther back than the 1970s...but it was then that they really had good numbers to predict with amazing accuracy that we would be involved with war in the Middle East...right about now actually...for oil...
 
I am against all of these bailouts, I think they set a terrible precedent for the market. Companies will be more likely to go off and do something stupid because they know that the government will rush in to save them should anything go wrong. If a company cannot compete, it does not need to be in business.

And according to opinion on the right you would be wrong to not support that bailout and I shouldn't have to tell you the reason why. Regardless of whether or not you are against such bailouts, it happened. Now you need to deal with it and answer my question. I think your own extremist support of your brand of capitalism is preventing you from even understanding that this problem needed to be dealt with in that appropriate way. And so it should but once again: Corps can't remain immune from government interference in one instance and then socialist policies be implemented in times of crisis such as this. Can they? Now tell me what you would have done?

I think controlling executive salaries is just the beginning. Where does it end? It sets another precedent that we then can not go back on. After we cap executive pay do we then decide that doctors earn to much money as well? People will always go where the money is. I think that is evidenced by many Canadian doctors choosing to come practice in the United States so that they can earn more money. I think capping salaries sets a precedent for a brain drain.

Who was talking about capping salaries?

Yes, some Canadian doctors leave Canada and go to the US. One of the original leaders in kidney transplants in NY left the US to come and practice in Victoria, B.C. (A.H. Siddiqui) For what it's worth. Canada's healthcare is operated at about 5% of GDP while the US system is operating at about 10% of GDP and yet Canada's is rated higher. Suppose we increase our expenditure to 7%, still 3% below the US? I tell you this to illustrate to you that it's nothing more than a tug-of-war between those who want better healthcare and those who don't want to pay for it. The former side has won the battle but we would still like to make it as good as France's.

Everyone in this country can attend high school for free. I think that is a good thing. I think however, that after that you are not entitled to a job. It is up to you to then go out and earn a job. Most conservatives today are not opposed to free public schools, but they also support vouchers and other programs for private schools.

On a conservative Supply Side forum which I take part in sometimes all the conservatives are opposed to free public schools. Free schooling doesn't mesh with SS economics. If you think that 'most' conservatives are for free public education you would have to substantiate that claim. In any case you have missed or perhaps avoided the point haven't you. Conservative governments in other countries which practice capitalism go further than just free public educaton. Healthcare is another example where your contry appears to be standing alone.

The WHO can say what they please. They place access to healthcare as a high priority, but disregard free ER visits and other programs that do indeed give people access to healthcare.

Yes, but you wish the WHO wouldn't say what it wants. And you have failed to reconcile the fact that the people want the system fixed and all the pres candidates addressed the problem with their brand of solution. I'll leave you in your misery my friend.

People still come to the United States from the UK and Canada to get procedures done because they do not want to get caught up in all the bureaucracy and just want to get an operation. I think that the entire "problem" with the healthcare system is government created as is.

Yes, wealthy Canadians will jump the queue. And they are welcome to do so if they can afford to do it. For 30,000,000+ other Canadians they live with a system which affords them comfort in knowing that if the contract a serious illness or injury they stand no chance of being bankrupted by a hospital bill of over $100,000 or more for the required procedures. Look, your system costs more than our and it's not rated as highly and the people are mad as hell about it and it costs twice as much % wise in GDP. reconcile that.

The HMO was a government mandate in this country. After that, the government then decided to focus tax breaks for buying healthcare solely for employers and not for the individual. This destroyed the individual market for healthcare, and I think played a role in rising prices (as monopolies always do). I do not find the solution to a government mandated problem to be more government. If we look at the costs of spending as is for Medicare for about the same amount of people as in Canada, it is outrageous. That said there are another 300,000,000 people after to then pay for as well. Where is all of this money going to come from? I think the solution is to give tax breaks to individuals to buy their own insurance and restore the private market, and let the market dictate the price, not the government. Economics 101 says price caps do not work. [/quote]

Bold in your quote is mine. Deal with your problem with socialist policies or deal with it in some other novel way. I'm interested in hearing a non-socialized solution. Switzerland would be too because it's one of the most capitalistic countries in the world which has more recently adopted a socialized healthcare system and now applauds their decision.

Since Bush has been in office the rich actually shoulder more of the tax burden. Let me explain:

While high-income households did save more in actual dollars than low-income households, they did so because low-income house*holds pay so little in income taxes in the first place. In 2000, the top 60 percent of taxpayers paid 100 percent of all income taxes. The bottom 40 percent collectively paid no income taxes. Lawmakers writing the 2001 tax cuts faced quite a challenge in giving the bulk of the income tax savings to a population that was already paying no income taxes.

First, lawmakers low*ered the initial tax brackets from 15 percent to 10 percent and then expanded the refundable child tax credit, which, along with the refundable earned income tax credit, reduced the typical low-income tax burden to well below zero. As a result, the U.S. Treasury now mails tax "refunds" to a large proportion of these Americans that exceed the amounts of tax that they actually paid. All in all, the number of tax filers with zero or negative income tax liability rose from 30 million to 40 million, or about 30 percent of all tax filers.

Consequently, from 2000 to 2004, the share of all individual income taxes paid by the bottom 40 per*cent dropped from zero percent to –4 percent. That means that the top group then had to cover an expanded percent of the tax burden. According to the Congressional Budget Office, "expanding the data to include all federal taxes, the share paid by the top quintile edged up from 66.6 percent in 2000 to 67.1 percent in 2004, while the bottom 40 percent's share dipped from 5.9 per*cent to 5.4 percent"

Thank you for the explanation. Still, if all taxaton quintiles are examined the top quintiles end up paying less and your explanation doesn't really dispute that. I don't have access to all the facts which would allow a full rebuttal, nor do I want to even try. I don't however hear any serious rebuttal of the fact that Bush tax cuts for the rich arguably didn't take place. It's one of Obama's main campaigning points as well and I would think that McCain would have been on it with both feet by now. Are you missing something or are you perhaps being a little creative? In any case I will have to defer to your American explanation for now.

People are over-reacting to the mortgage problem. First, it is not like everyone is losing their house. I think it is something like 1 in every 5000 houses is in danger maybe. Added to that, in my mind this is simply a market correction. Many of these people who are now getting foreclosed on had no business taking out a large mortgage and buying a house, and the companies had no business giving them these loans. Many of these people now losing their housing could not afford them to begin with, but tried on the hope that housing prices would continue to rise. They took a risk and lost, its not the governments fault, or responsibility to save them. Same with these companies, they took a risk and lost.

Good grief my friend! Are you actually trying to tell me that there is no mortgage crisis in your country???

Gas is over ten dollars a gallon is Europe and they are not in financial ruin. Why does $12 gas here ruin us, and $10 gas there for years mean nothing? We can shoulder $12 gas if we must, it will just speed the process to alternatives. I do not know where you are getting the idea that $12 gas is going to kill the economy. As for Iran, I do not think we will invade.

Because Europe has made adjustments for the price of gas over the years and the US has not. In addition to that the US consumes much more per cap than Europe. Some experts project that $12/gallon would be catastrophic for the US but I certainly can't prove that assumption. I have no reason to not believe what they say but I believe that you have a lot of reasons to disbelieve. Primarily you are attempting to rebut my claims for patriotic reasons I suspect. I think you are running from the facts. That is only my personal suspicion on your stance.
 
I do not think that it is unfair at all to compare our economy to that of a more socialist driven economy. After all, you are saying we need to start leaning left, and they are an example of an economy that already leans that way. It is a valid comparison.

Sorry, I didn't make myself clear as to comparing unemployment rates. That's the apples/oranges comparison. And I didn't even bother mentioning the military employment which will have to be maintained.

T. Boone Pickens does not dictate energy policy either. The market does. When gas was $2 bucks a gallon you were going to have a hard time to tell anyone that they needed to drive this electric hybrid that was not as good as their current car. (Remember that during all of this gas in Europe was still much higher) High gas prices are a new thing in this country (outside the oil embargo) and yes we are a bit behind catching up, but that hardly means that we will not catch up. We have oil shale reserves estimated to be more than the entire Middle East combined in Colorado, we can drill offshore and in Alaska, not to solve the problem, but to buy time.

Pickens is a smart cookie and people are listening. You acknowledge that you have not been proactive. Europe has been proactive. You may catch up before oil drives your economy into a depression. There is a reason why oil shale has been left sitting and I know a bit about it because I have spent considerable time in the Alberta tarsands myself. It's not an exact comparison but I'm willing to talk about it with you. You need to be careful in your assumptions is all I'll say at the moment. Yes you can buy some time but is there much sense in pursuing this line further with you when you seem to want to deny a near crisis situation? Perhaps you can tell me what your opinion was on oil resources remaining in the ground in your country two months ago before the rude awakening?

I should also mention here that your country has in my opinion relinquished the ability to deal with Iran's nuclear ambitions. I am squarely of the opinion that Bush wants very badly to attack Iran but can't because of what that implies for the price of oil. You are aware of Iran's ability to hit Hormuz. Had the US been proactive and not listened to the denial on the right about the country having all that oil in the ground, it may have placed itself in a better position, vis a vis the ability to attack Iran. In fact it is crucial IMO that the US maintain it's sphere of influence to include the ME and prevent Iran from becoming a regional superpower. When the US leaves Iraq then Iraq is in Iran's pocket. (it won't leave) That's what this is all about now, regardless of all the political bull**** being spewed from the mouths of McCain/Obama. We can rise above it!

I am not sure if you said things go in cycles, I thought you had, but I think that economically they do. Our weak dollar right now is promoting a lot of foreign investment in the United States, which takes it away from other places. This investment boosts our dollar while weakening others, then the cycle repeats. A weak dollar is not the end of the world.

I don't think I would have said things go in cycles because it's a more general statement than I would feel comfortable with. I understand what a weak dollar implies and I understand the plus side of course. But on a different note I would appreciate if you would at least deal with the down side. You are undoubtedly aware of oil bourses where oil is being bought and sold in Euros. Some very knowledgable conservatives believe that .60 on the Euro is too low. You're currently sitting at about .62 or .63 and that is after many efforts to prop it up.

I agree that Canada is ahead as of right now. The last thing I saw had us at 12th, but I think it goes in cycles.

Standard of living??? I don't believe that but if it were true then there is little doubt that Bush2 has destroyed your standard of living an appreciable amount in his 7+ years!

Yea, it was not supposed to come across as geared at you but rather simply a generalization. As for me, as I said earlier (I'll put it again) I have a BA in International Relations and a Masters in Defense and Strategic Studies. So no hormonal 16 year olds here. :cool:

It's clear to me that I'm talking to a clever person and I appreciate the opportunity on a forum such as this.


Also the Bush tax cuts worked. Consider this:

GDP grew at an annual rate of just 1.7 percent in the six quarters before the 2003 tax cuts. In the six quarters following the tax cuts, the growth rate was 4.1 percent. Non-residential fixed investment declined for 13 consecutive quarters before the 2003 tax cuts. Since then, it has expanded for 13 consecutive quarters.
The S&P 500 dropped 18 percent in the six quarters before the 2003 tax cuts but increased by 32 percent over the next six quarters. Dividend payouts increased as well. The economy lost 267,000 jobs in the six quarters before the 2003 tax cuts. In the next six quarters, it added 307,000 jobs, followed by 5 million jobs in the next seven quarters.

It could be so and I'm not equipped at the moment to dispute that. But just above that information you told me you suspected that your country's standard of living has slipped to 12th.

Priorities my friend, priorities! They're more important than figures which could or could not be manipulated for your pleasure.

--------------------------

Everybody wants to be centrist on the political spectrum and so it's with hesitation I will tell you that I am as regards Canadian standards. I'm a supporter of the Liberal party of Canada which many will refer to as rightist along with the Conservative POC. I think we definitely have a totally different outlook on politics but I also think that my politics are much more in tune with the rest of the globe. My main mission is to convince some Americans that they need to shift their politics toward the left a little but still maintain a capitalist system. I would like to concentrate a little more closely to that agenda, while at the same time addressing your concerns.
 
A quick comment: the repeated description of the US economy as "capitalist" is silly. The US is a mixed economy, with huge government interference in the market, and real capitalism doesn't exist anywhere on the globe and never has. :o
 
A quick comment: the repeated description of the US economy as "capitalist" is silly. The US is a mixed economy, with huge government interference in the market, and real capitalism doesn't exist anywhere on the globe and never has. :o

Maybe it's a matter of people such as BigRob being able to understand that their country is a capitalist country while others just don't understand what the term means. ;-)
 
Why?

Whats in it for you and why do you even care?

I am curious...

That's best left to be answered in full over a longer perios of time my friend. To put it bluntly, I care for my own selfish reasons and you obviously care that I care. What's in it for me? The pleasure of your company and the pleasure of libsmasher's company in a different novel sort of way.

LOL

Would you like to explain to me why you take part in this forum and find it necessary to add your rebuttals to my anti-american opinions?
 
A quick comment: the repeated description of the US economy as "capitalist" is silly. The US is a mixed economy, with huge government interference in the market, and real capitalism doesn't exist anywhere on the globe and never has. :o

Nineteenth and early 20th. century America came pretty close, right up to that unfortunate incident in '29.
 
Werbung:
Absolutely amazing. Here we have people openly debating socialism which fails every single time it's tried. They then sight as supporting reasons, problems caused by government intervention in the market.

"hey! Government screwed this up! Let's give them control over the whole market!"

Yet, every single example of a government take over, shows absolute destruction. Here we have the best economy in the world, and yet we want to institute a system that the rest of the world has tried over and over with crap for results? Why?

You go look at all the socialist programs currently being run by the federal government, and even some states, and I'll show you a boondoggle with filled with fraud, mismanagement, and waste.

Even within our own economy, the biggest issues we are facing are caused by socialistic intervention!

You want to claim socialist economies lead the pack? Where? Which one? Name ONE socialist economy that is "leading the pack"!
 
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