palerider
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- Feb 26, 2007
- Messages
- 4,624
Oh. So, we're back to #1 again?
It might help if you would number your arguments, so I know what your current position might be.
You act as if there are only your 4 choices and are unable to think past them. Do you really believe you know enough to constrain the argument to your 4 choices?
OK, then, let's see what sorts of observations support the idea that the Earth is in a cooling cycle currently. What do you think they might be?
Record and early cold. Record and early snow; and most importantly, places where snow that that has traditionally (according to our record keeping) melted in summer where it is no longer completely melting in summer. Ice ages, or even mini ice ages don't come about suddenly. They are the result of snows not melting completely away during the summer and accumulating which decreases the amount of energy absorbed by the earth. Look for snows that are remaining through the summer in places where they generally don't.
Me and mine? My family isn't in this debate at all. You're really only discussing this with me, unless some other member of HOP wants to jump in.
You and yours. Clearly the content of your posts on this board reflect the fact that you support the alarmist position. Need I bring quotes forward as evidence?
On that one, we agree. See argument #4.
No, we don't agree. Your number 4 says that humans are altering the climate and there is no observed evidence to support that claim.
So you keep saying. So, now we don't know whether the Earth is warming or cooling currently? Is that your contention?
I am stating that we don't have a data base that is sufficiently accurate to reasonably base claims of global temperature changes.
Now we've shifted to #2. It would be less confusing if we were to stick to just one issue.
No, we have not shifted to number 2. Number 2 states that there is warming but it is natural. We don't know whether there is warming or not. Again, you seem to beleive that you have covered the entirety of the climate possibilities with those 4 choices. You haven't even come close. If you try to frame everything I say within those 4 choices, you will be constantly misrepresenting what I am saying as we can clearly see. Thus far, you misrepresented my argument each and every time.
OK, here I thought we were in agreement on #1. Apparently, this is not the case. So, let's discuss #1. What evidence is there that the Earth is/ is not warming currently?
Why would you think we were in agreement? Number one is a statement of fact and we are not in posession of any fact. Any suggestion of being in posession of a temperature database that is accurate enough to make such a statement of fact call the one making the statement into question.
Which is exactly what I said: The "alarmist" position is that AGW will be a catastrophe. I think perhaps we agree on that one: There is no proof that it will.
But you still argue the alarmist position. You believe, and argue in support of claims that are based on nothing which supports the claims.
No, there is no evidence to support #4, or #3, so let's pick either #1 or #2 and quit shifting from one to the other. It would be much more more logical to do so.
There is no evidence to support 1 or 2 either. The data are not sufficient to support any of your choices. That is the problem. You believe you have covered the issue with your 4 choices and you haven't even come close.
I'm very good at reading for comprehension. If I've misunderstood one of your many different positions, look within for the reason.
Clearly you aren't. You keep trying to constrain the argument to your 4 choices; none of which are supported by data that has a margin of error less than the temperature change being claimed.
OK, so we're back to #1, as I said above.
No. we are not back to 1. We are not back to any of your choices because the data is not accurate enough to support any of them. We are in a state of not knowing. We are in a state of wringing our hands over an imagined man made disaster when we are not in posession of data that is accurate enough to support the claims. Clearly, the world around us is not suggesting impending disaster because there is nothing going on around us (climate wise) that is outside of natural variability.
Good. So, now you want to discuss the science behind the determination of position #1, correct?
Geez you are slow. There is not enough hard science to support any of your numbers. There is not enough hard, observable science to even create a topic for discussion. The fact that you attempt to defend a pseudoscientific branch of somethnig that is trying to appear to be science is surprising.
Position #3. I've never supported that one. You'll have to ask someone else.
You support a position you have not even named. You believe we are responsible and it will be a disaster and draconian measures might halt it because you support the proclamations of climate pseudoscience.
The greenhouse effect is claimed not only by the adherents of position #3, but by the supporters of #2 as well.
The greenhouse effect is fictitious. It is a fantasy. It is an ad hoc construct with no physical support. It is a political tool.
I think we need to establish position #1 first, then go to #2. If there is no increase in temperature, why would we talk about the causes?
So, if we're going to discuss position #1, I think we need to look at evidence that the Earth is warming/cooling currently.
Things like:
The increase or decrease in the extent of Arctic ice.
The increase or decrease in the extent of alpine glaciers.
The increase or decrease in extremes of weather.
The growth/shrinkage of the Greenland Ice Sheet.
Are there other reasons besides warming that the Arctic ice might be shrinking? Are there other reasons besides warming or cooling that alpine glaciers might advance or retreat? Is extreme weather a new thing? Many scientists are telling us that it is not associated with climate change. Is the growth or shrinkage of the greenland ice sheet new and can it only be related to warming or cooling? If you can answer any of these difinitively with a yes or no, then you have a serious topic for discussion. If you can't, then I have to wonder why, and to what ends the conversation exists at all.
Please feel free to add to that list. All of the above go to position #1, is the Earth currently cooling, or is it warming?
Till you can name something that is happening that is outside the boundries of natural variation, there is no conversation to be had. Any claim that there is a conversation to be had is little more than stories fabricated to scare the uneducated for political reasons.