No, the question has not been put to rest. Your thinking is very shallow. The general trend for the past 14k years has been warming but there have been long periods of cooling within that time frame. That is the nature of interglacial periods. There is little, if any evidence of warming in the past decade or so while the claimed driver of manmade climate change has been increasing as steadily as ever.
Oh. So, we're back to #1 again?
It might help if you would number your arguments, so I know what your current position might be.
Unlike with you and yours, it isn't a matter of what I believe. It is a matter of observed and empirical fact. The earth has been warming for a very long time but long periods of cooling have happened within that period. At present, we don't know whether it is warming or cooling because our temperature records have a far greater margin of error than any claimed increase in warming or decrease due to cooling. We simply don't know and that being the case, can not lay the unknown direction of climate change on anything other than natural variation. Any signal that you claim from man is simply not detectable and therefore negligable if it exists.
OK, then, let's see what sorts of observations support the idea that the Earth is in a cooling cycle currently. What do you think they might be?
Me and mine? My family isn't in this debate at all. You're really only discussing this with me, unless some other member of HOP wants to jump in.
Suggestions of political action based on the known facts are driven by personal political goals and not any knowledge of what the climate is doing or why it may be doing it.
On that one, we agree. See argument #4.
There is evidence of warming and evidence of cooling. What there isn't is a temperature record that has a small enough margin of error to know which is going on now.
So you keep saying. So, now we don't know whether the Earth is warming or cooling currently? Is that your contention?
Since nothing that is happening within the climate at present, or within the past 300 years (rough beginning of the industrial revolution) is outside of, or even close to the boundries of natural variability, there is no valid reason to think that any climate change that is happening is anything other than natural.
Since nothing is outside of natural variability, what reason would there be to think that humans are causing the climate to change. When we make changes to our environment, we don't just leave fingerprints, we leave tractor tracks. If we were changing the climate, it would be evidenced by changes that would be outside of natural variability.
Again, what evidence is there for human causes?
Now we've shifted to #2. It would be less confusing if we were to stick to just one issue.
No, you have not established that either one or two are true. The margin of error in our temperature estimates is to gross to know whether or not warming or cooling is happening. Claims of scientific organizations mean nothing if their data is not precise enough to support such claims. When scientific organizations make claims based on poor data, both the integrity, and motive of the organization comes into question.
OK, here I thought we were in agreement on #1. Apparently, this is not the case. So, let's discuss #1. What evidence is there that the Earth is/ is not warming currently?
Number 3 does not reflect the alarmist position. The alarmist position is that man is causing the phenomenon and it will be a catastrophy and draconian changes must be made in the way we live our lives.
Which is exactly what I said: The "alarmist" position is that AGW will be a catastrophe. I think perhaps we agree on that one: There is no proof that it will.
here is no evidence to support number 4. In fact, there is no evidence to support any of them. The margin of error upon which any of the above claims may be made is to gross to make any such claims.
No, there is no evidence to support #4, or #3, so let's pick either #1 or #2 and quit shifting from one to the other. It would be much more more logical to do so.
You really aren't good at reading for comprehension are you?
I'm very good at reading for comprehension. If I've misunderstood one of your many different positions, look within for the reason.
I never said that there is warming. I said that the general trend for the past 14k years has been warming but there have been long periods of cooling within that time frame as well. What I have said is that our temperature record is not good enough to make any claim of change in one directon or another.
OK, so we're back to #1, as I said above.
Hard reality tells us that the models used by the "scientific" community, and the findings of the "scientific" community are not supported by the laws of physics. Physics predicts, and observation tells us that the predictions made by the "scientific" community based on their models and findings are not worth the effort it has taken to make the statements.
Good. So, now you want to discuss the science behind the determination of position #1, correct?
What I want to know is upon what basis does AGW alarmism exist?
Position #3. I've never supported that one. You'll have to ask someone else.
Can you name a single physical law that supports and predicts a greenhouse effect as claimed by AGW alarmists? Can you name a physical law that supports any of the claims or predictions being made?
The greenhouse effect is claimed not only by the adherents of position #3, but by the supporters of #2 as well.
I think we need to establish position #1 first, then go to #2. If there is no increase in temperature, why would we talk about the causes?
So, if we're going to discuss position #1, I think we need to look at evidence that the Earth is warming/cooling currently.
Things like:
The increase or decrease in the extent of Arctic ice.
The increase or decrease in the extent of alpine glaciers.
The increase or decrease in extremes of weather.
The growth/shrinkage of the Greenland Ice Sheet.
Please feel free to add to that list. All of the above go to position #1, is the Earth currently cooling, or is it warming?