Al Gore Lies About Gloabl Warming Scandal

PLC1 - The graph is an exhibit, that stumps the Global Warming Hoaxers.
They can't explain it and it blows a hole in the CO2 Global Warming Theory.
Don't feel bad that it scares you, it scares them into silence.

The ice is possibly increasing in Antartica, a significant portion
of the planet, surrounded by water. We also
know from temperature measurements that the temperature may even be decreasing.
We are told the CO2 level is increasing in Antartica.

Thus, we might conclude that increasing CO2 levels are cooling Antartica.
But let's not jump to conclusions yet.

Class will be resuming soon.
 
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PLC1 - The graph is an exhibit, that stumps the Global Warming Hoaxers.
They can't explain it and it blows a hole in the CO2 Global Warming Theory.
Don't feel bad that it scares you, it scares them into silence.

The ice is possibly increasing in Antartica, a significant portion
of the planet, surrounded by water. We also
know from temperature measurements that the temperature may even be decreasing.
We are told the CO2 level is increasing in Antartica.

Thus, we might conclude that increasing CO2 levels are cooling Antartica.
But let's not jump to conclusions yet.

Class will be resuming soon.

No, let's not jump to conclusions yet.

CO2 is not just in Antarctica, nor does it matter which part of the globe, if any, has more than somewhere else. It just doesn't work that way, as I've already pointed out.

The link I gave showed that the extent of ice in Antarctica is diminishing. In the interior, where it is coldest, the ice sheets may be getting thicker, I'm not sure. The thickness of the ice sheets in the coldest parts of the continent are a function of the amount of precipitation that they have, not the temperature. The extent of the ice sheets is a function of temperature, and that extent is less than it used to be.

I remember a huge ice berg breaking off of the Antarctic ice sheet a few years ago, and the anti science/ pro politics voices saying that such a huge sheet of ice floating around in the ocean was proof positive that the oceans were getting colder, not warmer. Actually, the breaking up of the ice sheets, resulting in ice bergs, shows exactly the opposite.
 
PLC1 wrote -
It just doesn't work that way, as I've already pointed out.

So how does this broken greenhouse work? Please explain clearly, because it
has never been explained in any of my classes.
 
PLC1 wrote -

So how does this broken greenhouse work? Please explain clearly, because it
has never been explained in any of my classes.

CO2 is one of several greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere. If the atmosphere has more of them, then the Earth tends to gradually warm up, at least on average.

There is no correlation between a particular location having higher concentrations of greenhouse gasses and that spot being warmer. It is the atmosphere as a whole warming the Earth as a whole. Local variations in temperature depend on a whole host of different factors, especially ocean currents and prevailing winds.

Since warmer average temperatures affect winds and ocean currents, it also affects local climates.

There is no direct correlation between the amount of CO2 in the air above Podunk, Nevada or Antarctica, or Northern Europe and the local temperature at any of those places.

Class dismissed. Homework is to study the difference between scientific research and political opinions.
 
PLC1 wrote -
There is no direct correlation between the amount of CO2 in the air above Podunk, Nevada or Antarctica, or Northern Europe and the local temperature at any of those places.

Exactly right and well put. I think you are looking to make the honor roll.
 
Mr Sheepish wrote -

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...ng-claims-Himalayan-glaciers-melted-2035.html

The The world's leading climate change body has admitted it was wrong about a key prediction on global warming.

Yes. As I've said, if they're only wrong about one thing in >1000 pages then that sounds exceptionally good to me. There are many other places where they describe the same glaciers (in documents that the public is much more likely to read) where they do get it right.
 
Some recent news should be useful to drive home the point that you can't extrapolate from your local weather to make conclusions about the broader climate: NASA has concluded that the global average temperature of 2009 is tied with a handful of other years for the second warmest year on record. You need to remember that just because you've had a cold winter where you have lived, does not even mean that the world has gotten temporarily colder, much less that the long term predicted warming trend is bunk.

Obviously the temperature record for 2009 isn't evidence of a long term warming trend either. More data is needed.
 
Mr Sheepish wrote -
you can't extrapolate from your local weather to make conclusions about the broader climate

We can agree to a degree, but not entirely.

Extrapolation is precisely what Global Warming scientists have done with select ice and tree ring studies in Russia, artic ice melts, etc. that are found in global warming propaganda.


Class will continue soon.
 
Exhibit 14: One Tree - The Global Warming House is built on Sand!

Can you spot the crazy tree below?

vrskyb.png


It is reported this single tree(YAD061) is a pillar of Global Warming alarmism.
The results skewed by that tree and other similar studies are a basis for Al Gore's movie and certain IPPC Climate Recommendations.
This happened because this study was included in later studies by global
warming alarmists in other peer-reviewed climate papers. It was treated like gold, not to be questioned
by peer reviewers.

Tree Rings can be used as temperature proxies.
The theory is that enhanced tree-growth indicates warmer temperatures.

But there are obvious questions.
1) How accurate are tree rings at predicting temperature change?
2) Would local samples provide a global answer?
3) Would increased droughts, nearby trees, changed water tables or humid weather skew tree growth patterns?
4) Are tree ring measurement techniques technically sound?

If you use insufficient data as Keith Briffa from the CRU did, with his Yamal tree sample,
you will likely create bogus results.

In fact by changing 12 out of the original Briffa tree sample,
Steve McIntyre was able to produce a different result as seen in this Sept 2009 article.
http://climateaudit.org/2009/09/27/yamal-a-divergence-problem/
McIntyres criticism wasn't with the samples used, but with the quantity.
He also wondered why certain tree samples were ignored. Ie samples located
smack dab in the middle of the trees that Briffa used. Did Briffa suffer from
selective blindness?


We believe he did. Remember we have the ClimateGate emails.

Do you see the difference?

2zgt7d5.gif

http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2009/09/rcs_chronologies_rev2.gif

Continued below!
 
The fact that such different results could be so easily contrived, by changing a few trees
suggests this isn't rock solid science.

We have had the Briffa result preached to the masses, a result that global warming journals.
refer to as fact. The IPCC relied on his result to defend the Hockey Stick view, and it had appointed Briffa himself
to be the IPCC Lead Author for this topic. There was no "official" questioning of the data, for years.
In fact, Briffa hid his data for more than nine years. Remember the pattern we have seen over and over with
Global Warming Hoaxers, Data Hiding and Cherry Picking!

Briffa created evidence of global warming that
defies scienctific sensibility.

1) Not enough samples were used in the 20th century for his analysis.
he used only 10 cores in 1990 versus 65 cores in 1990 in the
Polar Urals archive and 110 cores in the Avam-Taimyr archive. We know
the Schweingruber trees (34) were available and he choose not to use them.
2) The samples used were not fairly distributed over time. The 18th and 19th
century portion of the sample, contained at least 30 trees per year.
The 20th century only 10? No matter how you weight or analyze the latest samples,
this leads to skewed results

Read more: http://network.nationalpost.com/np/...climate-data-are-uncovered.aspx#ixzz0dmLX9buU


3) Error Filtering or common sense was not used to eliminate outliers such as YAD61.
4) The samples used were selectively chosen. We know this because
McIntyre and Hantemirov and Shiyatov samples yielded different results.

Briffa could have used the
Schweingruber trees in his 2000 study and has never given a reason as to why?
. See his own words below.
Read this article for further study
http://climateaudit.org/2009/11/06/taimyr-and-yamal-location-maps/

It appears Briffa has been misleading us in his second response
about the location of the Schweingruber trees.

Continued below!
 
The original Briffa reponse to the McIntyre icluded the following:

Our current practice when selecting data to incorporate in a regional chronology,
is to include data exhibiting high levels of common high-frequency variability
Judged according to this criterion it is entirely appropriate to include the data
from the KHAD site (used in McIntyre's sensitivity test) when constructing a regional chronology for the area.
However, we simply did not consider these data at the time,
focussing only on the data used in the companion study by Hantemirov and Shiyatov and supplied to us by them.


Notice he doesn't state why he omitted the Schweingruber trees in lieu of a smaller sample.

http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/people/briffa/yamal2009/

Briffa later explains that adding the excluded trees doesn't change his results.
But that response is 9 years late, disputed and irrelevant:

1) the Russians that supplied Briffa his data published
a subsequent study, utilizing Yamal trees. Their results shows different results, flatter tree growth.
According to whattsupwiththat.com they formed a result as follows:
http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpr...mirov-shiyatov-0_2000_zoomed2.png?w=509&h=300

2) Briffa refused to share his data for many years, making it
suspicious. This was bad judgment at best and not
a way to gain respect from the scientific community. Even though Briffa knew scientists
wanted his data, he was willing to ignore them, until he published a paper in 2008
referencing the data, before releasing it.

The Royal Society of London demanded
that the CRU archive their findings before publishing more papers. Eventually it appeared at the CRU website.
http://climateaudit.org/2009/09/26/briffas-yamal-crack-cocaine-for-paleoclimatologists/

3) Biffa's cohorts at CRU acted suspicious and defensive as seen in the ClimateGate emails.
His coauthor, Tim Osborn couldn't provide answers about the data used in Briffa's Yamal sample?
Preposterous!


Email - Ex. Apart from Keith, I think Tom Melvin here is the only person who could shed light on the McIntyre
criticisms of Yamal. But he can be a rather loose cannon and shouldn’t be directly contacted about this....


Apparently they worried about spilling some truth?



4) Tree ring analysis is questionable science, sampling needs to be
performed carefully. A few outliers can skew a small sample one way or the other.
Has Briffa applied Error Bounds on his sample?

One shouldn't rely on limited samples, if more exist.
A CRU scientist might however and that is what Briffa did, without reason. He used a complex
analysis but with too few 20th century samples. This invites criticism and
the 20th century results are speculation at best.

5) It shouldn't be overlooked that Biffa's selection
was destined to show global warming and nothing less.
Briffa's climate studies consistently show global warming in some way or another.
Why would we ever expect him to produce a paper showing the opposite?
That would be illogical.

6) Keith Briffa has reportedly hid climate data elsewhere using
programming tricks, etc. as seen in Climategate emails, so probability
suggests this wasn't just sloppy science, but worse. We will
investigate this in a future class.

7) Even the data sample at the CRU werbise appears to be hiding the variation in YAD061.
The graphs could have been more space separated on the CRU webpage, but maybe they
want it to appear hidden to the casual observer.

Again, the Russian study of the Yamal area showed cyclical temperatures
over a longer time span without a huge upturn.
A warming trend started in the 19th century, long before
current high CO2 levels.

There was no trailing hockey stick result
as Briffa's 2000 paper might suggest.
If it existed, Briffa had not proven it.
 
What would it hurt to pretend global warming was real and gear up as if the consequences were as dire as most accredited scientists worldwide agree is the case? Hmmm??

Are you against green energy? Against cap and trade? Perchance are you a shareholder in a big stinking filthy or dangerous coal, oil or nuke company?
 
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What would it hurt to pretend global warming was real and gear up as if the consequences were as dire as most accredited scientists worldwide agree is the case? Hmmm??
Why don't you lead by example? Hmmm??

Get rid of your entire carbon footprint, reduce it to zero. Grow all your own food, live in a hut with no electricity, no heating, no cooling, no internet, no computer, no television, etc. don't drive, don't use public transportation, oh yeah... and stop breathing.

Once you show by example how such a life is possible, you can then try to convince the rest of us that such a life, complete with no breathing, is preferable.
 
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