Part of the oil path problem is the gov lack of any energy policy. Anytime gov starts taxing to fix the price of some commodity higher, it wrecks the dynamics of the market. Corn is a great example in the gov quest to make ethanol. Ethanol creates a 55000 btu deficit for every acre raised for ethanol. That is the diesel used to grow the corn is greater than the production of ethanol by BTUs.
Wind mills solar panels all have negative BTU profiles. They call them renewable sources but the lesson learned from Germany and Spain is that the wind turbines fell far short of their productive life expectancy and had to be replaced or repaired losing all of the projected cost benefits of renewable energy. Apparently nobody in the Obama administration does math.
We have gluts in oil, gluts in natural gas, gluts in coal and the obama administration can't get it together enough to see that the greatest stimulus to the economy would be cheap energy, not these adventures in solar panel tax credits.
Cheap energy is what makes businesses expand. Energy in China is cheaper than the USA. China's stimulus plan included 34 nuclear power plant and they have 300 more on the drawing boards.
Cheap energy makes consumers feel like spending.
So when policies by gov raise the price of energy, don't do math, and incentivize BTU inefficient technologies, the economy contracts. The hype explodes of course and companies start wasting money chasing gov tax credits. We need nuclear power plants not wind turbine farms.
Obama knows very little about the physical world, in fact, to me he doesn't seem to know much about anything. He is the wrong person at the wrong time... But I would say that McCain would have been equally lost and inept. This is the same old story. It takes a lot of brains to build a nuclear weapon but how much brains does it take when you turn their control over to the politicians, the intellectual bottom rung?
I can tell you that the present oil pump is not beneficial to the Christmas consumer but I also believe this is just a pump and dump and will be short lived. But this gives hedges a great opportunity to short retail if they can push oil up and kill the consumer.
I always compare petroleum equivalents and we have a big gap between Natural Gas and Oil.... silver and Gold too. For me this would place oil at about $36 bbl. Of course that would be wonderful for both business and the consumer. But the Obama administration is conceptually out to lunch and they don't do math very well.
best regards
doug
Wind mills solar panels all have negative BTU profiles. They call them renewable sources but the lesson learned from Germany and Spain is that the wind turbines fell far short of their productive life expectancy and had to be replaced or repaired losing all of the projected cost benefits of renewable energy. Apparently nobody in the Obama administration does math.
We have gluts in oil, gluts in natural gas, gluts in coal and the obama administration can't get it together enough to see that the greatest stimulus to the economy would be cheap energy, not these adventures in solar panel tax credits.
Cheap energy is what makes businesses expand. Energy in China is cheaper than the USA. China's stimulus plan included 34 nuclear power plant and they have 300 more on the drawing boards.
Cheap energy makes consumers feel like spending.
So when policies by gov raise the price of energy, don't do math, and incentivize BTU inefficient technologies, the economy contracts. The hype explodes of course and companies start wasting money chasing gov tax credits. We need nuclear power plants not wind turbine farms.
Obama knows very little about the physical world, in fact, to me he doesn't seem to know much about anything. He is the wrong person at the wrong time... But I would say that McCain would have been equally lost and inept. This is the same old story. It takes a lot of brains to build a nuclear weapon but how much brains does it take when you turn their control over to the politicians, the intellectual bottom rung?
I can tell you that the present oil pump is not beneficial to the Christmas consumer but I also believe this is just a pump and dump and will be short lived. But this gives hedges a great opportunity to short retail if they can push oil up and kill the consumer.
I always compare petroleum equivalents and we have a big gap between Natural Gas and Oil.... silver and Gold too. For me this would place oil at about $36 bbl. Of course that would be wonderful for both business and the consumer. But the Obama administration is conceptually out to lunch and they don't do math very well.
best regards
doug