Lagboltz
Well-Known Member
I see that Palerider is back to acrimonious bickering, challenges, and veiled insults. I will not address his post because as I said, there is an impasse. Also I will reverse my previous direction and be concerned about the moral issues of the infirm, elderly, retarded, etc. along with abortion. Palerider often mentioned them, but I refused to consider them at that time.
Whereas this thread is concerned with the survival of individual "humans", I am concerned about the survival of the entire human race. No, our race is not endangered, but the question is, what will life be like in the coming decades?
200 years ago rural settlers survived only when their land could produce enough food to supply energy needed to create the food and necessities to live. Settlers had beasts of burden to till the soil that would feed those animals along with other animals and themselves. They canned and dried food for the winter. Their energy was largely from photosynthesis and maybe a windmill for pumping water. One calorie of their energy had to produce at least one calorie of food or they would die.
Earlier in the last century it was predicted that the earth could not produce enough to feed as many as 6 billion people. But new technology allowed for fertilization, irrigation, pesticides, hybrids, etc. and we found it could be done. But to do that in the US now, on the average it requires 10 calories of external energy to produce 1 calorie of food. This energy includes fertilization, irrigation, pesticides, machinery, transportation, refrigeration, packaging, warehousing, retailing, spoilage, and labor. The early settler would not have survived with that ratio of energy.
So predictions for sustainability are complicated. How can we sustain the predicted 9 billion in the year 2050? How much extra energy will that take? How about later on: 12 billion? Is there enough arable soil? You choose any population number that you think the earth can support. Our exponential population growth will head there.
So, it becomes very obvious that at some point, population stabilization is imperative. How can that happen? There is only one way: People will have to die off at the same rate they are born. So the basic moral question we have to answer is who gets to live and who gets to die.
One moral viewpoint is that everybody should be allowed to live as long as possible. Can this work decades into the future? Our live span is getting longer due to medical technology. A friend told me technology can allow survival of premature babies born as short as 5 months after conception. Are we morally obligated to do this? One person I once knew started a company that froze people shortly after death so that technology of the future would be able to thaw them out and cure the problem that killed them. He sincerely thought it was immoral to allow people to rot in burial. I think he went overboard on morality. Medicare and Medicaid is around 20% of our national budget, and getting larger. The government cannot support it's growth a few decades from now. What do we do with retirees that need medical help? What do we do with anyone who can't afford medicine? who can't afford a home or food? Food and medical are two examples that I covered. There are many other resources that are also limited.
To sustain future population stabilization, people will have to have shorter life spans on the average, or fewer babies have to be born, or some mixture of the two. For every birth there must be a death.
Who gets to be born?
Who gets to die?
This now becomes a question of triage. I learned that word this year when I applied to take a course for hurricane disaster preparedness. Memorize the second definition. It will be useful in future decades.
Triage:
1. A process for sorting injured people into groups based on their need for or likely benefit from immediate medical treatment. Triage is used in hospital emergency rooms, on battlefields, and at disaster sites when limited medical resources must be allocated.
2. A system used to allocate a scarce commodity, such as food, only to those capable of deriving the greatest benefit from it.
It is hard to imagine the hopelessness and anguish of dying in a concentration camp, of seeing your brother dying of cancer, starvation in African nations, virus epidemics that kill 50 million people, loved ones that die as collateral damage in useless wars, .....
Sentience endows us with the agony and ecstasy of life.
A fetus without a nervous system doesn't share that.
There are many other social morals that involve abortion. A young mother burdened with the cost and the difficulty of school while carrying an unwanted baby. Another child of a single parent with too many kids who will become a future gang members ...
Will laws ever allow one to pull the plug on Mrs Schiavo who was comatose for 15 years and used up 2 million dollars to keep her alive? Hard question. How about comatose for 2 months? What will be the medical and moral guidelines? Will we allow you to unplug life support on a very old patient who doesn't recognize his family due to late live dementia? Hard question. How will you handle Medicare for millions of baby boomers? Hard question.
Triage is truly a moral dilemma. No stance is morally clean. You just have to grit your teeth, make a choice, and proceed. I hope my area on the gulf coast is never hit by a hurricane so that I would be put in the position of making choices that triage demands. I went through 4 near misses in the last four years.
I have made a stance of social triage on the 40 million abortions since Roe vs. Wade. It is one element of triage that I think carries the least harm to society now and in the future. It is your turn to tell me what 40 million people will have to die so 40 million extra can live. If not now, how about in a few decades? What will your moral code be on social triage. Who will you decide should die?
Whereas this thread is concerned with the survival of individual "humans", I am concerned about the survival of the entire human race. No, our race is not endangered, but the question is, what will life be like in the coming decades?
200 years ago rural settlers survived only when their land could produce enough food to supply energy needed to create the food and necessities to live. Settlers had beasts of burden to till the soil that would feed those animals along with other animals and themselves. They canned and dried food for the winter. Their energy was largely from photosynthesis and maybe a windmill for pumping water. One calorie of their energy had to produce at least one calorie of food or they would die.
Earlier in the last century it was predicted that the earth could not produce enough to feed as many as 6 billion people. But new technology allowed for fertilization, irrigation, pesticides, hybrids, etc. and we found it could be done. But to do that in the US now, on the average it requires 10 calories of external energy to produce 1 calorie of food. This energy includes fertilization, irrigation, pesticides, machinery, transportation, refrigeration, packaging, warehousing, retailing, spoilage, and labor. The early settler would not have survived with that ratio of energy.
So predictions for sustainability are complicated. How can we sustain the predicted 9 billion in the year 2050? How much extra energy will that take? How about later on: 12 billion? Is there enough arable soil? You choose any population number that you think the earth can support. Our exponential population growth will head there.
So, it becomes very obvious that at some point, population stabilization is imperative. How can that happen? There is only one way: People will have to die off at the same rate they are born. So the basic moral question we have to answer is who gets to live and who gets to die.
One moral viewpoint is that everybody should be allowed to live as long as possible. Can this work decades into the future? Our live span is getting longer due to medical technology. A friend told me technology can allow survival of premature babies born as short as 5 months after conception. Are we morally obligated to do this? One person I once knew started a company that froze people shortly after death so that technology of the future would be able to thaw them out and cure the problem that killed them. He sincerely thought it was immoral to allow people to rot in burial. I think he went overboard on morality. Medicare and Medicaid is around 20% of our national budget, and getting larger. The government cannot support it's growth a few decades from now. What do we do with retirees that need medical help? What do we do with anyone who can't afford medicine? who can't afford a home or food? Food and medical are two examples that I covered. There are many other resources that are also limited.
To sustain future population stabilization, people will have to have shorter life spans on the average, or fewer babies have to be born, or some mixture of the two. For every birth there must be a death.
Who gets to be born?
Who gets to die?
This now becomes a question of triage. I learned that word this year when I applied to take a course for hurricane disaster preparedness. Memorize the second definition. It will be useful in future decades.
Triage:
1. A process for sorting injured people into groups based on their need for or likely benefit from immediate medical treatment. Triage is used in hospital emergency rooms, on battlefields, and at disaster sites when limited medical resources must be allocated.
2. A system used to allocate a scarce commodity, such as food, only to those capable of deriving the greatest benefit from it.
It is hard to imagine the hopelessness and anguish of dying in a concentration camp, of seeing your brother dying of cancer, starvation in African nations, virus epidemics that kill 50 million people, loved ones that die as collateral damage in useless wars, .....
Sentience endows us with the agony and ecstasy of life.
A fetus without a nervous system doesn't share that.
There are many other social morals that involve abortion. A young mother burdened with the cost and the difficulty of school while carrying an unwanted baby. Another child of a single parent with too many kids who will become a future gang members ...
Will laws ever allow one to pull the plug on Mrs Schiavo who was comatose for 15 years and used up 2 million dollars to keep her alive? Hard question. How about comatose for 2 months? What will be the medical and moral guidelines? Will we allow you to unplug life support on a very old patient who doesn't recognize his family due to late live dementia? Hard question. How will you handle Medicare for millions of baby boomers? Hard question.
Triage is truly a moral dilemma. No stance is morally clean. You just have to grit your teeth, make a choice, and proceed. I hope my area on the gulf coast is never hit by a hurricane so that I would be put in the position of making choices that triage demands. I went through 4 near misses in the last four years.
I have made a stance of social triage on the 40 million abortions since Roe vs. Wade. It is one element of triage that I think carries the least harm to society now and in the future. It is your turn to tell me what 40 million people will have to die so 40 million extra can live. If not now, how about in a few decades? What will your moral code be on social triage. Who will you decide should die?