Little-Acorn
Well-Known Member
Elana Kagan was Solicitor General for the Obama administration while Obamacare was being crafted, and likely had an active hand in making sure it was "legal", by whatever odd definition the Obamanites wanted to use. Mnay people say that, now that she is a Supreme Court justice, she should recuse herself from consideration and judging on a bill that she helped put together.
Suppose the four Constitutional justices (Roberts, Alito, Thomas, Scalia) vote against Obamacare, and the remaining big-govt justices (Ginsburg, Breyer, Sotomayor) vote for it, and Kennedy weathervanes to the left and also votes for it. Then if Kagan were to recuse herelf, the outcome would be a 4-4 tie on the Supreme Court.
And this would make it very significant WHICH case was being examined... because a tie would cause the decision of the previous court (11th circuit in this 26-state case) to be upheld. And that previous court has struck down the Mandate, as unconstitutional.
So Obamacare would quickly die.
So, Kagan could be regarded as the "tiebreaking" vote, by her decision to recuse herself or not. (If she does not recuse, then she would surely vote for Obamacare; if she does recuse, then the 11th circuit's strikedown would become "law" if the other justices vote as described).
Will she or won't she?
Suppose the four Constitutional justices (Roberts, Alito, Thomas, Scalia) vote against Obamacare, and the remaining big-govt justices (Ginsburg, Breyer, Sotomayor) vote for it, and Kennedy weathervanes to the left and also votes for it. Then if Kagan were to recuse herelf, the outcome would be a 4-4 tie on the Supreme Court.
And this would make it very significant WHICH case was being examined... because a tie would cause the decision of the previous court (11th circuit in this 26-state case) to be upheld. And that previous court has struck down the Mandate, as unconstitutional.
So Obamacare would quickly die.
So, Kagan could be regarded as the "tiebreaking" vote, by her decision to recuse herself or not. (If she does not recuse, then she would surely vote for Obamacare; if she does recuse, then the 11th circuit's strikedown would become "law" if the other justices vote as described).
Will she or won't she?