Hold on now -- the time frame for these predicitions is not one month -- it is at the shortest, at least two years.. ie the 2014 elections. Time will tell which direction we are heading with who emerges from the primaries at that time.
As for hearing complaints about how we lost because Romney was a moderate -- that played out for days immediately after the election -- and antidotally, I had lunch today with the head of a Tea Party PAC, who stated that we needed to ensure we don't nominate another moderate in 2016, because the last two we nominated got beat.
The Tea Party Patriots -- a large ground that speaks for a large segment of the far right in the party released the following statement the day after the election:
""For those of us who believe that America, as founded, is the greatest country in the history of the world – a 'Shining city upon a hill' – we wanted someone who would fight for us,"
Tea Party Patriots co-founder Jenny Beth Martin wrote in an e-mail, quoting 40th president and conservative hero Ronald Reagan. "We wanted a fighter like Ronald Reagan who boldly championed America's founding principles...
What we got was a weak moderate candidate, hand-picked by the Beltway elites and country-club establishment.""
This is a trend that is already underway -- we saw in numerous times this last election -- with polls showing people who were previously self identifying as "Republican" now self identifying as "independent" -- and then describing themselves as "Moderates." This is a gradual trend that hopefully will be stopped, but we won't get new real data on it until at least 2014.
That said, antidotal evidence does point to moderate's pushing back -- with loud arguments that the Tea Party is the sole reason the R's don't hold the Senate, and Republicans on the Hill abandoning pledges that curried favor with the far right -- additionally, there have been larger and larger moderate immigration reform proposals coming from the right.
This is another gradual trend, and it way to early to make this determination. We have to see how the other factors play out first.
I agree -- but there is plenty of infighting among party leaders about the lessons they learned from this election. Time will tell which side ultimately wins -- but we won't get that clear answer until really 2016, with some good evidence coming in by 2014.