US Budget Deficit will jump $246 billion..

The Scotsman

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Uncle Sam: $407 billion in the hole

Deficit up by $246 billion in a year. Federal agency cites 'substantial increase in spending' and 'halt' in tax revenue growth. Also says it will add Fannie and Freddie to future estimates.


NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The budget deficit will jump by $246 billion to $407 billion this year, the Congressional Budget Office estimates in a report released Tuesday.

"Over the long run, growing budget deficits and the resulting increases in federal debt would lead to slower economic growth," the agency said.

The budget deficit shot up 153% from last year's shortfall of $161 billion. The government's fiscal year ends Sept. 30. The agency attributes the jump to "a substantial increase in spending and a halt in the growth of tax revenues."

That drop in revenue is driven in part by an estimated 15% decline in corporate tax receipts. They fell as a result of lower corporate profits and tax rules governing how businesses depreciate their investments this year. A second factor is the rebates provided to tax filers from the economic stimulus law Congress passed earlier this year.

The spending hike is partly due to efforts by the government "to cover the insured deposits of insolvent financial institutions," the agency said.

To date, 11 banks have been seized by the FDIC this year - not a high number historically, but higher than it's been in recent years - and that number is expected to grow in the coming months.

The CBO said it expected the deficit to exceed $400 billion - or 3% of gross domestic product - for each of the next two years if current policies remain in place. It also forecast several more months of "very slow" economic growth.

"The nation is experiencing a significant period of economic weakness," said Peter Orszag, director of the CBO, in a press briefing.

The CBO's estimate for the cumulative deficit over the next 10 years is now $2.3 trillion. Earlier this year, the CBO estimated the country would have a $300 billion surplus by 2018. But that was wiped out in part because of new spending approved by lawmakers for the war in Iraq and Afghanistan and revised economic projections.

And the 2.3 trillion figure doesn't account for the likelihood that the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts will be extended or that the middle class will continue to be protected from the Alternative Minimum Tax - or so-called wealth tax. If those extensions are made - and both presidential nominees have been calling for that, at least in part - then the 10-year deficit projection jumps to more than $7 trillion.


rest of the article... HERE

.........not included are the cost of financing Fanny and Freddie!

What if any are the candidates comments on the deficeit? Do they have any plans to tackle this?
 
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Eisenhauer was the last president that actually gave a damm about America.

Every one since has only sought power for power's sake. Bought and paid for by the very thing Ike warned us about; the military/industrial complex.

Pardon my cynicism.
 
Eisenhauer was the last president that actually gave a damm about America.

Every one since has only sought power for power's sake. Bought and paid for by the very thing Ike warned us about; the military/industrial complex.

Pardon my cynicism.

The cynicism is warranted, although I think it is largely misplaced as to cause. Ike had a valid concern, as his perspective was more a post-Hitler-WWII influenced one than a forward-sighted one. I think he, like so many past Presidents, must be spinning in his grave to see what a monstrosity the federal government has become.

One small point in fact: in 2005, the U.S. federal government spent $581 billion on Health and Human Services and $560 billion on Social Security Administration, for a combined total over $1.1 trillion. During the same year (at the height of expenditures in Iraq no less) we spent $474 billion on defense/military.
 
.........not included are the cost of financing Fanny and Freddie!

What if any are the candidates comments on the deficeit? Do they have any plans to tackle this?

As the late senator Dirksen said - "a billion here and a billion there, and pretty soon your talking about real money". :)
 
What if any are the candidates comments on the deficeit? Do they have any plans to tackle this?

McCain: Reform
(some of this has been truncated for brevity)
Bring The Budget
To Balance By 2013

John McCain will balance the budget by the end of his first term. The near-term path to balance is built on three principles:

* Reasonable economic growth.

* Comprehensive spending controls.

* Bi-partisanship in budget efforts.

In the long-term, the only way to keep the budget balanced is successful reform of the large spending pressures in Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid.

Comprehensive Spending Controls:

* The McCain administration would reserve all savings from victory in the Iraq and Afghanistan operations in the fight against Islamic extremists for reducing the deficit. Since all their costs were financed with deficit spending, all their savings must go to deficit reduction.

* A one-year spending pause. Freeze non-defense, non-veterans discretionary spending for a year and use those savings for deficit reduction. A one-year pause in the growth of discretionary spending will be imposed to allow for a comprehensive review of all spending programs. After the completion of a comprehensive review of all programs, projects and activities of the federal government, we will propose a plan to modernize, streamline, consolidate, reprioritize and, where needed, terminate individual programs.

* Take back earmark funds. The McCain Administration will reclaim billions of add-on spending from earmarks and add-ons in FY 2007 and 2008.

Bi-partisan Fiscal Discipline: A McCain Administration will provide the leadership to achieve bipartisan spending restraint equivalent to that in the 1997 Balanced Budget Agreement between a GOP Congress and a Democratic President. In 1997, President Clinton and the GOP Congress agreed to balance the budget by restraining the growth in spending and cutting taxes over a ten-year period.

* With the same bipartisan effort today, with the federal budget that is now 70 percent larger, we could keep taxes low and still balance the budget by holding overall spending growth to 2.4 percent. Unlike Congress and the Executive branch in recent years, a McCain Administration will enforce the spending restraint to balance the budget and keep it balanced.

* A McCain Administration would perform a comprehensive review of all programs, projects and activities of the federal government, and then propose a plan to modernize, streamline, consolidate, reprioritize and, where needed, terminate individual programs.

* A McCain Administration will review all special spending provisions to end subsidies to high-income individuals and corporations

Eliminating Wasteful Spending

Stop Earmarks, Pork-Barrel Spending, And Waste: John McCain will veto every pork-laden spending bill and make their authors famous.

Leadership, Courage And Choices: Reducing spending means making choices. John McCain will provide the courageous leadership necessary to control spending, including:

* Eliminate broken government programs. The federal government itself admits that one in five programs do not perform.

* Reform our civil service system to promote accountability and good performance in our federal workforce.

* Reform procurement programs and cut wasteful spending in defense and non-defense programs.

Reforming Entitlement Programs For The 21st Century
Reform Social Security: John McCain will fight to save the future of Social Security, and he believes that we may meet our obligations to the retirees of today and the future without raising taxes.

Control Medicare Growth: The growth of spending on Medicare threatens our fiscal future. John McCain has proposed comprehensive health care reforms that will reduce the growth in Medicare spending, improve the quality of care, protect seniors against rising Medicare premium payments, and preserve the advancements in medical science central to providing quality care.

Thats "Change" I can believe in... :)

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What Nobody's Saying: The Bailout Will Kill the Dollar
Submitted by BuzzFlash on Mon, 09/22/2008 - 2:54pm. Dave Lindorff


What nobody in the corporate media is mentioning amid all the blather about the $700-billion Paulson bailout proposal is the impact it will have on the U.S. dollar.

We are told that this huge gift to the financial sector -- the assumption, at top dollar, of all the bad debt they've piled up -- will be at taxpayer expense, but that's only the half of it. (Really only the quarter of it because since the U.S. government is technically bankrupt already, spending more than it takes in each year, all that money will be borrowed, and will be added to the national debt, meaning that just as the real cost of the $500-billion Iraq War is closer to $2 trillion, the real cost of the $700 billion bailout will be more such as $1.5-2.5 trillion.)

But besides the direct bill handed to taxpayers for this gigantic con, there is the fact that adding that much to the national debt is also going to drive the dollar down precipitously against foreign currencies. We're already seeing that happen, even while they're just talking about the bailout. The dollar is falling against all major currencies -- the euro, the yen, the renminbi and the British pound. And it will continue to fall as the details of the bailout come out.

This will add to already powerful pressures in countries such as Saudi Arabia and China, which hold huge quantities of U.S. dollars and U.S. dollar-denominated debt, to shift out of dollars and into other currencies -- particularly the euro and the yen. Last week, an article in China's People's Daily, which like Pravda in the old Soviet Union, is the official voice of the leadership in China, called for just such a move. Russia is also calling for an end to the dollar as the underpinning of the global economy.

For some years now, many economists have been predicting an end to the dollar as the world's reserve currency, but this latest plan by the U.S. Treasury will push such a shift forward from "some day" to "now."

As long as the dollar has been the reserve currency -- the currency in which key commodities such as gold or oil were priced, and the currency that exporting nations stocked in their treasuries as a store of value -- it was protected against collapse. But once it loses that status, there will be nothing to prop it up any longer, and it will quickly slide to a value that it deserves.


We got an inkling of what is going to happen today, as crude oil prices leapt in the short time it took me to research and write this essay (less than an hour!) by 25%, the biggest jump in the history of the oil market. This timely vindication of my point was purely a move caused by loss of confidence in the dollar. There was no oil supply disruption. In fact, demand for oil has been sinking as the economic crisis grows. Oil producers and traders simply realized that the dollar is going poof, so they
radically jacked up the cost of oil in dollars.


If you want to see what that proper value is, look to the currencies of the debtor nations -- countries such as Mexico or perhaps Mozambique. A nation that makes almost nothing, and that imports most of its needs, cannot have a strong currency.

This might not matter much if we had a functioning domestic economy, where people could find the goods and services they needed without turning to sources from abroad. A big country such as the U.S. could simply turn inward and function on by its own domestic economic standards.

I remember back when the former Soviet Union was in a state of economic and political free fall in the early and mid 1990s, the currencies of the constituent countries, such as Russia, Ukraine and Belarus, had had collapsed to virtual worthlessness on the international market. A Byelorussian friend, an engineering professor from Minsk, living and working near me in China at the time, explained that although when he traveled the world, he felt such as a pauper, things weren't so bad back home in Belarus, where he and his family would go in the summer. "My apartment only costs a few dollars a month to rent," he explained, "and our food is bought on the local market using rubles, so it is very affordable." The same was true for other needs, such as clothing and books for school, he explained. The only problem was buying gas for his Russian Volga. "Gas," he explained, "is priced as an international commodity, so it takes me one month's wages in Belarus to buy the gas to drive once to and from our country dacha."

You can start to see the problem. Since agriculture has been killed off in most of the U.S., in favor of giant agribusiness enterprises situated in the Western part of the country and some parts of the Midwest, most people elsewhere will not have local produce available, and the cost of transporting food from California to places such as New York or Pennsylvania will be prohibitive once the dollar collapses, since oil is priced internationally. Meanwhile, goods such as TV sets, computers, phones, cars (or at least the key components of cars), clothing, etc., are no longer even made in the U.S., and will thus be completely unaffordable. As for the service jobs that are supposed to have replaced our old manufacturing sector, no one will be interested in buying what they're offering, because they'll be scrimping just to buy the key staples they need to survive, so of course joblessness will soar.

Eventually, of course, entrepreneurially minded people will begin establishing local farms again where they once flourished generations ago, and small factories will be built to provide key essentials, but all this will take time, and will have to cater to a market of people operating at a much lower standard of living.

The banking sector, meanwhile, which is the proximate cause of this monumental disaster, won't mind any of this, for it will continue operating on the international stage, shifting its focus to lending money (no longer dollars, though), to growing economies in Asia, Latin America, and Eastern Europe. And this is what, in truth, the "rescue" of Wall Street is all about.

It's not about saving Main Street, as Paulson claims. Main Street, under the bailout, is toast. It's about helping the banks and investment banks and insurance companies that brought on this crisis to ride it out in style, their astronomical losses bankrolled or absorbed by the American public, so that they can shift their operations overseas and continue with their rape and pillage of the global economy.

The U.S. will be left behind, a smoking ruin, with Americans, such as Weimar Germans before them, going shopping with wheelbarrows full of worthless green paper to exchange for a few days' groceries.


from here:http://www.buzzflash.com/articles/lindorff/147



Don't think that saying the US is in some serious trouble is over stating it.
 
Hey PLC... Whats that formula again? VO = O + SF

Is that it?

Anyway... Run the above post through the equation calculator because I came up with Double Zero. :)
 
Hey PLC... Whats that formula again? VO = O + SF

Is that it?

Anyway... Run the above post through the equation calculator because I came up with Double Zero. :)

Well in fairness, this bailout will hurt the dollar. We will not go shopping with wheelbarrows however. We did the commodity markets skyrocket the yesterday though due to inflation fears and a weakening dollar.
 
neither candidate will speak to the issue of our massive debt and the consequences of it. as of august, 2008 the united states had a monthly INTEREST PAYMENT of 24 billion dollars. this is money paid that does nothing for the country. the only way to sole this problem is to pay this debt down. in my opinon, this can be done only by massive decreases in spending or by increasing our revenues by taxes. sadly, neither candidate will decrease spending or raise taxes. sadder yet, the american public would not vote for a candidate who would dare propose either or both of these solutions.
 
neither candidate will speak to the issue of our massive debt and the consequences of it. as of august, 2008 the united states had a monthly INTEREST PAYMENT of 24 billion dollars. this is money paid that does nothing for the country. the only way to sole this problem is to pay this debt down. in my opinon, this can be done only by massive decreases in spending or by increasing our revenues by taxes. sadly, neither candidate will decrease spending or raise taxes. sadder yet, the american public would not vote for a candidate who would dare propose either or both of these solutions.

Obama will raise taxes. Now he is talking that 95% of people will not see an increase, which would be OK, except for the fact that he refuses to cut any spending. The spending he has promised is already a 10% increase over the already massive Bush spending levels.

Good luck with that right now.
 
Obama will raise taxes. Now he is talking that 95% of people will not see an increase, which would be OK, except for the fact that he refuses to cut any spending. The spending he has promised is already a 10% increase over the already massive Bush spending levels.

Good luck with that right now.

how can 95 percent of us get a tax break when 40 or so percent of us dont pay taxes?
 
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how can 95 percent of us get a tax break when 40 or so percent of us dont pay taxes?

Well in fairness he says they would not see a tax increase, not so much get a tax break. But he does say sometimes they would get a break as well, so maybe he will follow the Bush model.

Bush actually did give them a tax break, because they are now paid more in a rebate than they pay in income taxes to begin with. (This is for the lowest groups) The Bush tax cuts helped everyone, but have still been called "tax cuts for the rich."
 
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