Putin Has A Crisis Brewing: He Is Running Out Of Ammo In Ukrane

[Yo Daddy!]

SECURITY​

Putin Has A Crisis Brewing: He Is Running Out Of Ammo In Ukrane​

By
Stavros Atlamazoglou

The war in Ukraine has entered its tenth month, and the Russian forces are running out of ammo.

Putin's War in Ukraine Is Now a Historic Disaster (6:35)​

Putin's War in Ukraine Is Now a Historic Disaster

19FortyFive: Military, Defense and War News​

Dec 24
2022

From 19FortyFive: As winter sets in, the fighting in Ukraine will slow. Both sides will use the downtime to resupply and refit for next year’s warm weather fighting season.

So this is an excellent time to take stock of where the conflict stands after ten months and look for larger trends above the ebb and flow of the frontlines.

No matter how the war unfolds in the next year or two (and it looks set to drag on), Russian power has been badly reduced.

Russian President Vladimir Putin planned a short war that would illustrate Russian military might and bolster his country’s claim to sit at the high table of world politics, despite a corrupted economy too small for a great power.

Instead, Putin has stumbled into a quagmire akin to the Soviet war in Afghanistan in the 1980s or the American war in Vietnam.

America’s quagmires, such as the Iraq counterinsurgency, were costly and domestically disruptive, but enormous size of the US economy and the popular legitimacy of its democratic system insured that American could wind down its losing wars without a massive rupture. Russia does not have this luxury.

Its economy is 7% of the size of America’s; to fight a long war will be profoundly economically disruptive. And Putin’s dictatorship is fundamentally unstable. Putin is vulnerable to a coup if he does not win his war of choice in Ukraine.

More broadly, Russia’s poor performance in the war abolishes the myth of Russian military modernization – that despite its shaky economy, Russia is still a great power because of its military prowess.

This is no longer credible; Russia is losing to a country whose military no one took seriously a year ago. Russia’s economy is only in the world’s top twenty now, and the war-related sanctions will shrink it out of the group in a year or so.

In short, neither Russia’s economic capacity nor its military capabilities justify calling Russia a great power anymore.

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[Stalin]

Complete nonsense.

Avoid websites like these

Comrade Stalin

 

[Yo Daddy!]

Complete nonsense.

Avoid websites like these

Comrade Stalin

"Websites like these" I interpret to mean any website containing your posts.

Thanks for the warning.

Ignore.

 

[pjmret]

putin does have a problem, which is why you hear him offering to negotiate more loudly. He really needs an exit from the war that still leaves him in power. Continuing to fight isn't going to do that, eventually russians won't support the "special military operation" and/or he'll run out of enough munitions that he'll start losing badly.