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Going to be awfully tricky.  Take a look at the Slosh Report since February, 2000:



One thing of note really stands out: that large peak exactly coincides with the peak of RCO (Regular Conventional Oil) in late 2005/early 2006.  Let's break it out ino its components and see what falls out:


Total Submitted:



Total Accepted:



Total Maturing:



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